Ongoing Crisis in Myanmar and Its Implications for ASEAN and India
Since the 2021 military coup that ousted Aung San Suu Kyi, Myanmar has been in a state of civil war, with resistance groups fighting the junta.
The conflict has displaced hundreds of thousands and left over 18.6 million people in need of assistance.
The crisis tests ASEAN's credibility as a peace-oriented bloc, as its attempts to mediate and implement the Five-Point Consensus have largely failed.
Myanmar is crucial for India’s connectivity with ASEAN countries.
India needs stability in Myanmar for its own security and regional interests.
Challenges
The junta’s refusal to engage in genuine negotiations complicates peace efforts, labeling resistance groups as terrorists.
ASEAN member states have differing views on how to engage with Myanmar, leading to a slow and diluted response due to the need for consensus.
Efforts by ASEAN may not succeed without including all relevant parties in Myanmar, such as the National Unity Government and ethnic armed organizations.
Way Forward
ASEAN must engage all stakeholders in Myanmar to create effective solutions and restore stability.
India should balance its security concerns with support for democratic processes, enhancing development projects in Myanmar.
Collaborative Efforts: Both ASEAN and India need a pragmatic approach, considering the diverse political landscape in Myanmar and the necessity of involving all parties for lasting peace and stability.
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